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Betting College Football: Handicapping the College Football Playoff and the impact of potential player suspensions - The Athletic

Professional gamblers have had lengthy conversations over the past few weeks about the College Football Playoff semifinal point spreads. The question facing those holding the Benjamin Franklins is the same for the Orange and Cotton Bowls: Are the point spreads too high for Alabama and Clemson?

Numbers for both games range from -12.5 to -14, generating plenty of vaticination about the Crimson Tide and Tigers meeting for the fourth consecutive season in College Football Playoff. My personal retort in every conversation is to ask, “How often has the point spread mattered in the Playoff semifinals since the format began in 2014?” The answer is zero.

Though the national championship game has featured some thrillers, the semifinals have been an outright point-spread snore in the Playoff era.

In 2014, Oregon beat Florida State 59-20 as a 9.5-point favorite and Ohio State didn’t need the +9.5 to defeat Alabama 42-35 outright in the Sugar...

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