2019-20 NHL Stanley Cup odds and playoff probabilities - The Athletic

Welcome to our NHL playoff probabilities page where you will find each team’s likelihood of advancing to each round, including winning the Stanley Cup.

The projections are based on 50,000 simulations of the playoffs, which factors in each team’s projected strength, current health, and their expected playoff path. Due to this year’s playoffs being played in neutral hub cities, home-ice advantage was excluded from the simulation. Each team’s projected strength is based on the projected value of the players on its roster based on Game Score Valued Added (GSVA), which can be found here. You can read more about GSVA and the model here.

Click to expand any chart for a larger view.

Due to the return-to-play format not yet being completely finalized, simulations were played out under the following assumptions. Once details are confirmed the projections will be updated.

No re-seeding after play-in...

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