We didn’t learn a whole lot about college football’s best teams in Week 1, and Week 2’s not gonna be the most important Saturday of 2018 either.
But! As always, we’ll keep track of each current top-25 game from the College Football Playoff committee’s most likely December perspective. This means judging each team’s win not by how it looks right now, but by how it’s most likely to look by the end. If this is too convoluted for you, well, at least the final scores will be here.
Remember the things the committee has mostly demonstrated it rewards: wins over final top-25 teams, wins over bowl teams, road wins, dominant wins, weirdly excusable losses, being Alabama, and not being a mid-major. It does not care what your opponent’s AP ranking was at kickoff.
All times p.m. ET. All rankings AP, for now. Final scores in italics.
Games in which the winning team will likely have a pretty high-quality Week 2 pelt by season’s end. It just so happens all these teams are also currently AP-ranked.
- No. 10 Stanford (1-0) vs. No. 17 USC (1-0), 8:30, Fox: I don’t really know why the Pac-12 likes to have this game early every year, ensuring one of its few national programs picks up a September loss, but the committee doesn’t seem to care when you lose. The winner’s in nice shape.
- No. 3 Georgia (1-0) at No. 24 South Carolina (1-0), 3:30, CBS: UGA can just about lock up the SEC East in Week 2 LMAO, adding a solid road win in the process. Or the Cocks can break everything.
Games in which the winner will probably have beaten a decent bowl team (or better), and I’m being slightly generous in Week 2, because this is a light schedule.
- No. 1 Alabama (1-0) vs. Arkansas State (1-0), 3:30, ESPN2: A Bama win over the Sun Belt champ would be nice, not that Bama needs the same kind of committee-impressing material as the rest of us.
- No. 2 Clemson (1-0) at Texas A&M (1-0), 7, ESPN: A road win at THE HATE BARN would be a quality W. An upset would add some drama to the ACC and have people asking Paul Finebaum whether the SEC West can have four Playoff teams.
- No. 13 Penn State (1-0) at Pitt (1-0), 8, ABC: Pitt’s one of a billion ACC teams looking like .500 or so. Again, an upset would give us all sorts of conference narratives.
- No. 15 Michigan State (1-0) at Arizona State (1-0), 10:45, ESPN: Sure, let’s project Herm Edwards to make a bowl in Year 1! His team did look way better than MSU did in Week 1, at least.
- No. 18 Mississippi State (1-0) at Kansas State (1-0), noon, ESPN: I think we should call all ag school games FARMAGEDDON, a rivalry name too good to limit to just one series.
- No. 21 Michigan (0-1) vs. WMU (0-1), noon, FS1: Probably an OK win over a minor bowl team for UM.
- No. 25 Florida (1-0) vs. Kentucky (1-0), 7:30, SEC Network: The streak is of more interest than any theoretical New Year’s impact, but both teams could make lesser bowls.
Better not lose!
The following FBS games seem unlikely to involve multiple bowl teams each, so you better win comfortably:
- No. 4 Ohio State (1-0) vs. Rutgers (1-0), 3:30, BTN
- No. 5 Wisconsin (1-0) vs. New Mexico (1-0), noon, BTN
- No. 6 Oklahoma (1-0) vs. UCLA (0-1), 1, Fox
- No. 8 Notre Dame (1-0) vs. Ball State (1-0), 3:30, NBC
- No. 16 TCU 42 (2-0), SMU 12 (0-2)
- No. 20 Boise State (1-0) vs. UConn (0-1), 10:15, ESPNU
And the Playoff committee doesn’t care about your FCS games, unless you look really terrible:
- No. 7 Auburn (1-0) vs. FCS Alabama State, 7:30, SEC Network
- No. 9 Washington (0-1) vs. FCS North Dakota, 5, Pac-12 Network
- No. 11 LSU (1-0) vs. FCS Southeastern Louisiana, 7, ESPN2
- No. 12 Virginia Tech (1-0) vs. FCS William & Mary, 2, ACC Network
- No. 14 West Virginia (1-0) vs. FCS Youngstown State, 6, ATTSN
- No. 19 UCF (1-0) vs. FCS South Carolina State, 6, WatchESPN
- No. 22 Miami (0-1) vs. FCS Savannah State, 6, ACC Network
- No. 23 Oregon (1-0) vs. FCS Portland State, 2, Pac-12 Network
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