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Masters 2024 predictions, picks: Best long-shot bets at Augusta - New York Post

Typically, it’s the big names that win the Masters.

Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler, Hideki Matsuyama, Dustin Johnson and Tiger Woods won the last five Green Jackets, so it’s been a while since we’ve seen a true shock-winner at Augusta.

Danny Willett in 2016 was surely a surprise, but he was bet down to 66/1 by Round 1, and Patrick Reed qualified when he took home the Green Jacket in 2011.

And while that was a long time ago, it was part of a stretch where we saw dark horses regularly win at Augusta.

Zach Johnson, Trevor Immelman and Angel Cabrera won in 2007, 2008 and 2009, respectively, and they had odds of longer than 100/1. 

It would be a true stunner if a triple-digit long shot was able to upset this field, but Augusta National is a place where magical things can happen and it has been the year of the long shot in golf, so why not throw a couple of darts this week?

Sungjae Im hit rock bottom in March, but could be trending up at high prices ahead of the Masters.
Sungjae Im hit rock bottom in March, but could be trending up at high prices ahead of the Masters. Getty Images

Best Masters long-shot bets

Sungjae Im (125/1, Caesars)

It’s been a trying year for Sungjae Im and his 10-over showing at the Valspar Championship at the end of March seemed to be a rock-bottom moment for the 26-year-old.

And while it’s never fun to back a player in this kind of form, the formula changes a bit when you’re getting a player with Im’s ceiling at this price.

And it definitely becomes more palatable when you consider Im’s history at Augusta National.

The South Korean has played the Masters four times and has a runner-up, a T8 and a T16 finish in his account already.

Maybe this is the place where Sungjae gets back on track.

Sergio Garcia (150/1, FanDuel)

There’s always a surprising name or two at the top of the leaderboard at the business end of every Masters and I wouldn’t be shocked if Sergio Garcia ticks that box this year.

The Spaniard is coming off a runner-up finish at LIV Miami last week and is a former winner at Augusta, so you don’t need to do too much work to find the logic of a punt on Garcia at this price. 

Sergio Garcia of Spain putts on the eighth green.
Sergio Garcia of Spain putts on the eighth green at the 2023 Masters. Getty Images

Nick Taylor (250/1, FanDuel)

Most folks want to back players with loads of experience at Augusta National, but Nick Taylor can be the exception at this price.

The Winnipeg native is a four-time winner on the PGA Tour and has shown an innate ability to keep himself calm in big moments.


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Taylor won as a triple-digit long shot at the Waste Management — another tournament with a monster field — in February and that was his second time he lifted a trophy after a playoff.

That bodes well in a tournament that usually comes down to holding your nerve in big situations. 

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