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Iowa vs. South Carolina odds: 2024 Women's national championship game picks, Caitlin Clark predictions - CBS Sports

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The 2024 NCAA Women's Tournament national championship features the No. 1 seed South Carolina Gamecocks suiting up against Caitlin Clark and the No. 1 seed Iowa Hawkeyes on Sunday afternoon. The winner will be crowned as the 2024 national champion. The Gamecocks are two-time champions, winning in 2017 and 2022. Meanwhile, Iowa is looking to win its first-ever championship. 

Tipoff from Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse in Cleveland, Ohio, is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Gamecocks are 6.5-point favorites in the latest South Carolina vs. Iowa odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 160.5. Before making any Iowa vs. South Carolina picks or championship game predictions, you have to see what women's basketball expert Calvin Wetzel has to say.

Wetzel, HerHoopStats.com lead betting writer, incorporates his mathematical background and strong knowledge of women's hoops to turn the site's prediction model into picks. Now Wetzel has turned his attention to women's college basketball after teaming up with Aaron Barzilai, a Ph.D. from Stanford. Since the start of the 2021-22 women's college basketball campaign, he is 1384-988 (+371.33 units). Wetzel also predicted 66 of 68 tournament teams this year, as well as 62 of 68 teams within one seed line, and correctly picked 13 of 16 second-round games. Anybody following his picks has seen huge results.

Now, he has set his sights on Iowa vs. South Carolina and made his picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for South Carolina vs. Iowa:

  • Iowa vs. South Carolina spread: Gamecocks -6.5
  • Iowa vs. South Carolina over/under: 160.5 points
  • Iowa vs. South Carolina money line: Gamecocks -300, Hawkeyes +210
  • IOWA: The Hawkeyes shoot 37.8% from 3-point range
  • SC: South Carolina averages 46.3 RPG
  • Iowa vs. South Carolina picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why South Carolina can cover

The Gamecocks play suffocating defense and force their opponents into terrible decisions. During the season, South Carolina ranked 17th in the country in scoring defense (56.1) but first in field-goal percentage defense (.321). The Gamecocks also forced opponents to shoot 26.9% from downtown. They've held four of their five opponents in the tournament to less than 60 total points. 

Sophomore forward Ashlyn Watkins has been an impactful playmaker in the frontcourt. Watkins has been consistently dominating on the glass and has been efficient with her touches offensively. The South Carolina native averages 9.4 points, 7.4 rebounds, and shoots 54% from the floor. She snagged 14-plus boards in back-to-back games. In the Final Four win over NC State, Watkins had eight points, 20 rebounds, and two blocks. See which team to pick here

Why Iowa can cover

Everyone knows that Clark is a superstar but the Hawkeyes have seen other players step up to help keep the pressure off of her. Sophomore forward Hannah Stuelke has been a reliable outlet offensively for the Hawkeyes. Stuelke does a great job cutting to the rim and is able to finish with either hand. She averages 14.1 points and 6.7 rebounds per game, while shooting 63% from the field.

In her last game, Stuelke finished with a tournament-high 23 points, shooting 9-of-12 from the field. Senior guard Kate Martin provides the team with another capable floor spacer. Martin has a reliable jumper and is a competitive force on the boards. She averages 13 points and 6.8 rebounds per game. In the Elite Eight against LSU, Martin finished with 21 points and six boards. See which team to pick here.

How to make South Carolina vs. Iowa picks

Wetzel has analyzed this matchup and he is leaning Under on the point total, while discovering a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's sharing what it is at SportsLine

Who wins Iowa vs. South Carolina, and what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread hits, all from the expert who's up 371 units since the start of the 2021-22 season, and find out.

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