Only three quarterbacks in NFL history have led a team to an unbeaten regular season in the Super Bowl Era: Earl Morrall (nine starts) and Bob Griese (five) of the 1972 Miami Dolphins, and Tom Brady of the 2007 New England Patriots. Could Brady lead the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers to a 17-0 record this year? At Caesars Sportsbook, yes is a +2500 long shot (win $2500 on $100 wager) and no is -7500 ($7500 wager would win $100).
Of course, the Bucs open defense of their Super Bowl title at home in the Kickoff Game against the Dallas Cowboys tonight, and they should win that considering they are 9-point favorites. Presuming he doesn't suffer a season-ending injury in Week 1 like he did in 2008 with the Patriots, Brady will become the seventh non-kicker in NFL history to play multiple games in a season at age 44 or older. Of the four major American pro sports leagues since 1920, only the NBA with two has fewer such players. The NHL has eight and Major League Baseball a whopping 49.
Brady's 2007 Patriots, which included Randy Moss, were one of the best offensive teams in history but even as good as they were at 16-0, they had four wins by four points or fewer that could have gone the other way. Of course, New England was upset by the New York Giants in the Super Bowl – the Giants also nearly upset the Pats in Week 17, losing 38-35.
Obviously, adding the 17th game this year makes a perfect season that much tougher; the 1972 Dolphins had 14 regular-season games. Tampa Bay's added opponent is a very good Colts team in Indianapolis in Week 12 and that could be a loss. It opened as a pick'em on the NFL odds.
A few sportsbooks have posted odds on every game this season, obviously subject to change. Tampa is first listed as an underdog (+1) Week 3 at the Los Angeles Rams, who won at Tampa 27-24 in Week 11 last year. That was with Jared Goff at QB (376 yards, three TDs, two picks) and the Rams certainly upgraded there in the offseason with Matthew Stafford.
I happen to think that's where the Bucs lose first; might Brady be caught looking ahead to Week 4 and maybe the most anticipated regular-season game in NFL history in his return to New England? Tampa Bay opened at -3.5.
If the Bucs can get past the Colts in Week 12 still unbeaten, they have a shot because their tough games remaining are at home (Week 14 vs. Buffalo, Week 15 vs. New Orleans). The regular season ends at home on Jan. 9 vs. Carolina. Other than Rams & Colts, Tampa is a betting favorite in every game ... for now.
Also keep in mind that neither Coach Bruce Arians nor Brady might give a hoot about a perfect regular season and Arians could rest guys down the stretch if the top seed in the NFC is clinched.
Caesars Sportsbook has an exact regular-season wins prop for every team, and 12 is the +225 favorite for Tampa Bay with 17 at +2500.
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