Can you believe the 2020 NFL Draft is only about a week away? Feels strange to me given the absence of pre-draft visits and pro days this year. But alas, the show apparently must go on.
The intrigue in Philadelphia Eagles land is about what the Birds are going to do with the No. 21 overall pick. Will they stay put? Maybe trade up for a player at a certain obvious position of need? How about a trade down? BGN’s Dave Mangels recently wrote what such scenarios could look like.
In addition to this much, ESPN’s Bill Barnwell put together a 2020 NFL mock draft exercise that consists entirely of trades. Two of his 32 proposals involve the Eagles, so let’s take a closer look.
TRADE UP
Jets get: 1-21, 3-103, 2021 third-round pick, CB Rasul Douglas
Eagles get: 1-11
This deal would allow the Eagles to draft one of the perceived “big three” receivers: CeeDee Lamb, Jerry Jeudy, or Henry Ruggs III. Depending on how the board shakes out, the Eagles might even have their pick of the trio.
There’s no doubt that the Eagles adding one of those players to Carson Wentz’s arsenal would be exciting. But would such a move be worth the price?
I don’t think the Eagles are in a great spot to trade up. They’re tied for the fewest draft picks made (10) in the NFL over the past two years. This trade proposal would leave the Eagles with their 2020 second-round pick at No. 53, which is good, but then they wouldn’t select again until No. 127 in the fourth. Keep in mind the Eagles currently only have the 20th most valuable 2020 draft capital in the league.
HYPOTHETICAL 2020 EAGLES PICKS
1 - Eagles’ own pick - No. 11 overall
2 - Eagles’ own pick - No. 53 overall
4 - Eagles’ own pick - No. 127 overall
4 - Compensatory pick - No. 145 overall
4 - Compensatory pick - No. 146 overall
5 - Acquired from the New England Patriots - No. 168 overall
6 - Acquired from the Atlanta Falcons - No. 190 overall
Trading a future third also further depletes the team’s 2021 assets. They already don’t have a fourth next year due to the Genard Avery trade (smh).
HYPOTHETICAL 2021 EAGLES PICKS
1 - Eagles’ own pick
2 - Eagles’ own pick
5 - Eagles’ own pick
6 - Eagles’ own pick
(6 - Projected compensatory pick)
(6 - Projected compensatory pick)
(6 - Projected compensatory pick)
7 - Eagles’ own pick
(7 - Projected compensatory pick)
At the 2019 NFL owners meetings, Jeffrey Lurie talked about the Eagles’ need to draft in volume in order to increase their chances of hitting on draft picks. Trading up in a big way this year would fly in the face of that strategy.
Another issue to consider is that the Eagles have a pretty poor track record of drafting and developing wide receivers under Howie Roseman. Can the team really be so confident in their evaluation this time around that they’re willing to make a major move up the board?
The Eagles absolutely must add talent at wide receiver but it’s far from the only position that needs to be addressed. If the Eagles are giving up multiple picks to get one player in a loaded receiver class, how are they then adequately addressing other spots like cornerback, safety, linebacker, offensive line, running back, and so on?
It’s one thing if the Eagles make a minor move up from No. 21 but a 10 spot jump is too rich for my blood.
Poll
Should the Eagles trade No. 21, No. 103, a 2021 third-round pick, and Rasul Douglas in exchange for pick No. 11?
-
41%
Yes
(266 votes) -
58%
No
(371 votes)
TRADE DOWN
Eagles get: 2-35, 4-109, 2021 second-round pick
Lions get: 1-21, 2021 third-round pick
This scenario likely presumes that Lamb, Jeudy, Ruggs, AND Justin Jefferson are all off the board at No. 21, which is possible. Instead of potentially reaching for a receiver in the next tier, the Eagles could move back and pick up some valuable assets.
Let’s look at the Eagles’ draft haul in this scenario.
HYPOTHETICAL 2020 EAGLES PICKS
2 - Acquired from the Detroit Lions - No. 35 overall
2 - Eagles’ own pick - No. 53 overall
3 - Eagles’ own pick - No. 103 overall
4 - Acquired from the Detroit Lions - No. 109 overall
4 - Eagles’ own pick - No. 127 overall
4 - Compensatory pick - No. 145 overall
4 - Compensatory pick - No. 146 overall
5 - Acquired from the New England Patriots - No. 168 overall
6 - Acquired from the Atlanta Falcons - No. 190 overall
HYPOTHETICAL 2021 EAGLES PICKS
1 - Eagles’ own pick
2 - Acquired from the Detroit Lions
2 - Eagles’ own pick
5 - Eagles’ own pick
6 - Eagles’ own pick
(6 - Projected compensatory pick)
(6 - Projected compensatory pick)
(6 - Projected compensatory pick)
7 - Eagles’ own pick
(7 - Projected compensatory pick)
Trading down could allow the Eagles to get two receivers from the group of Denzel Mims, Brandin Aiyuk, KJ Hamler, Jalen Reagor, etc. It would also put them in a good spot to address other position of need.
The downside is that No. 21 to No. 35 is a considerable drop. What if there’s a big run on receivers in that range, especially given the Eagles’ all-too transparent need at that spot? They might just have to stay at No. 21 and reach to get the guy they like. Or consider a smaller move back.
In general, though, I like the idea of trading down more than trading up. If the Eagles truly want to get younger — as is Roseman’s stated goal — they need to do as much by making more picks, not fewer.
Poll
Should the Eagles trade No. 21 and a 2021 third-round pick in exchange for No. 35, No. 109, and a 2021 second-round pick?
-
55%
Yes
(319 votes) -
44%
No
(257 votes)
So, which hypothetical do you prefer? Or do you think the Eagles should just stay at No. 21 and make their pick?
Poll
What should the Eagles do in the 2020 NFL Draft?
-
23%
Trade up
(144 votes) -
41%
Trade down
(254 votes) -
34%
Stay put
(210 votes)
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