Surging AFC South rivals clash in the first game on the 2019 NFL Wild Card schedule when the Houston Texans host the Indianapolis Colts on Saturday. Kickoff from NRG Stadium is at 4:35 p.m. ET. Houston (11-5) won 11 of its last 13 to capture its fifth division crown, while Indianapolis (10-6) enters on a 9-1 heater that includes a Week 14 win in Houston. The line has been bouncing around ahead of kickoff. It opened at Houston -2.5 before dropping as low as -1. Now, the Texans are 1.5-point favorites. The Over-Under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 48 in the latest Colts vs. Texans odds. Both teams have failed to cover seven times this season and boast nearly identical point differentials of plus-5.6 and plus-5.4. Before you make any Colts vs. Texans picks and NFL predictions, see what SportsLine's No. 1 NFL expert, R.J. White, has to say.
CBS Sports' NFL editor, White is an insane 19-6 in his past 25 against-the-spread picks involving the Colts, including nailing both Indianapolis vs. Houston games this season. He also has a strong feel for the Texans and was all over Houston (-6.5) to cover versus Jacksonville last Sunday.
"Houston plays well at home against bad teams, and they have the No. 1 rush defense, per DVOA," White told SportsLine. "That'll put the onus on Blake Bortles to make plays in the passing game to keep the Jaguars competitive, and I just don't see that happening." Final score: Houston 20, Jacksonville 3 -- another easy cash for White.
This is the same expert who cashed big in two of the past four Las Vegas SuperContests -- the world's most prestigious handicapping competition. Moreover, White enters the playoffs on a strong 51-31 run on all NFL picks, returning nearly $1,700 to his SportsLine followers. Anyone who has tailed him is way up.
Now, with the NFL Wild-Card schedule fast approaching, White uncovered some mind-blowing data and locked in a confident spread pick. He's only sharing it over at SportsLine.
White knows Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson is playing at an extremely high level, having gone six straight games without an interception while also rushing for four touchdowns over that span. Watson's chemistry with wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins is unmatched: In the last three games alone, they've hooked up 31 times for 421 yards and two scores. Houston allows 19.8 points per game, fourth fewest, and is coming off a 20-3 beatdown of Jacksonville that secured the Texans' fifth AFC South crown. The Texans are 6-1-1 against the spread in their last eight games against AFC foes.
But just because the Texans boast a star-studded roster and will benefit from a raucous home crowd doesn't mean they'll cover the AFC wild-card spread against the surging Colts.
Andrew Luck (39 touchdowns, 15 interceptions) is a shoo-in for NFL Comeback Player of the Year and loves facing Houston. In two games against the Texans this season, Luck threw for 863 yards and six touchdowns. He's backed by an underrated defense that is allowing just 3.9 yards per carry and ranks 10th in points allowed at 21.5 per game.
The Colts are extremely comfortable in Houston. They won 24-21 there in Week 14 and are 5-0-1 against the spread in their past six visits. In addition, Indy has covered six straight versus winning teams and three of its last four games overall. Indy is a sterling 5-0 against the spread versus teams like the Texans that win more than 55 percent of games and 6-0 ATS versus teams that allow fewer than 21 points per game (Houston allows 19.8).
We can tell you White is leaning over, but his much stronger play is on the side. He uncovered a stunning trend that has him going big on one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.
Who wins Colts vs. Texans? And what mind-blowing trend makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the No. 1 NFL expert who nailed both Indy-Houston games this season.
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