This column publishes every Thursday morning. If there is major injury/COVID-19-related news (like a starting quarterback being out) that significantly changes the line, I will update my pick here before kickoff. I will tweet out the updated link if changes are made.
Now let’s get to it!
Stats are courtesy of TruMedia and Pro Football Focus unless otherwise noted.
Last week: 7-7Season: 73-61-2
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (+7.5) | 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday, FOX/NFLN
At first glance, it feels like this line should be higher. The Ravens are 6-2 and legit Super Bowl contenders. But Baltimore is on a short week after its offense ran 98(!) plays in an overtime win Sunday against the Minnesota Vikings.
As of this writing, we don’t know whether Jacoby Brissett or Tua Tagovailoa will start for Miami. Last week, the Dolphins became just the second team in five years to turn the ball over five times and still win. In this game, it feels like they’ll need a score on defense or special teams to pull off the upset. The Ravens are a tough team to prepare for on a short week. I think they take care of business.
The pick: Ravens (-7.5)
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