Bracket pools are won and lost thanks to upsets. They are what makes March Madness 2021 so appealing to casual fans, who watched as No. 16 UMBC knocked off No. 1 Virginia in 2018. Picking the right upset, or avoiding a tournament-defining upset, can make or break your 2021 NCAA bracket. The No. 11 vs. No. 6 matchups are ones to keep an eye on when you make your 2021 NCAA Tournament picks, as since the event expanded in 1985, 37 percent of 11-seeds have upset 6-seeds.
Will the 11th-seeded Utah State Aggies add to the statistic by knocking off the sixth-seeded Texas Tech Red Raiders? Or will all four No. 6 seeds buck the trend and advance to the second round of the 2021 NCAA bracket? Before making any 2021 March Madness predictions, be sure to check out the 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket picks from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.
Last tournament, SportsLine's computer simulation nailed massive upsets, including huge wins by No. 13 seed UC-Irvine over No. 4 seed Kansas State, No. 10 seed Florida over No. 7 seed Nevada, and No. 12 seed Oregon over No. 5 seed Wisconsin.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has nailed 15 of the 26 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds the past four tournaments and nailed 14 teams in the Sweet 16 last time.
There's simply no reason to rely on luck when there's proven technology to help you dominate your 2021 March Madness pools. Now, the model has simulated every possible matchup in the 2021 NCAA Tournament and revealed its bracket. You can only see it over at SportsLine.
Top 2021 March Madness bracket upset picks
One team set to pull off a shocking upset in 2021 March Madness brackets: No. 9 St. Bonaventure beats No. 8 LSU. These teams are a classic contrast of styles, as St. Bonaventure boasts the No. 5 scoring defense, while the Tigers own the No. 8 scoring offense. Both are coming off appearances in their respective conference tournaments, with the Bonnies winning the A-10 over VCU, while LSU came up short in the SEC Final versus Alabama.
SportsLine's model has the Bonnies dancing to the second round. LSU was just 1-5 when scoring 75 or fewer points, while St. Bonaventure never allowed a team to reach 75 points all season. Look for the Bonnies to win their first NCAA Tournament first-round game since 1970.
Another huge curveball in the East Region: No. 12 seed Georgetown pulls off the upset against No. 5 seed Colorado. The Hoyas are one of the most well-known college basketball programs, with five Final Fours and four national title games. After starting the season 5-10, Georgetown won eight of its final 10 games, including a blitz through the Big East Tournament with four wins in four days to earn an automatic bid.
Patrick Ewing's squad limited opponents to just 36.8 percent shooting from the floor during the Big East Tournament and 28-of-106 from beyond the arc. Meanwhile, Colorado is coming off a disheartening loss to Oregon State in the Pac-12 Tournament. That's a big reason why the model has Georgetown over Colorado as a potential 12-5 upset to consider for your 2021 NCAA Tournament picks.
How to make 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions
SportsLine's model also has one region where you need to pick the No. 2 seed, while the Nos. 10, 11 and 13 seeds all deliver huge first-round upsets. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket.
So what's the optimal NCAA Tournament 2021 bracket? And which underdogs shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which No. 2 seed you need to target, and see which region you need to pick the 10, 11, and 13 seeds, all from the model that's called 15 of the 26 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds in the last four tournaments.
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