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March Madness 2021 bracket predictions: NCAA Tournament picks from dialed-in college basketball model - CBS Sports

The East Region of the 2021 NCAA bracket could easily be confused for the College Football Playoff from looking at the top four seeds. No. 1 Michigan, No. 2 Alabama, No. 3 Texas and No. 4 Florida State are all among the most storied programs in college football history, although they all haven't experienced the same success in March Madness. Out of those four, only Michigan has won a national championship, but any one of them could have what it takes to cut down the nets at the conclusion of the 2021 NCAA Tournament.

However, a team like No. 7 UConn could stand in the way from any of those top-four seeds from advancing to the Final Four. They have a true go-to scorer in guard James Bouknight (19.0 points per game), who went off for 40 in a December game against Creighton. The Huskies were a different team with Bouknight on the court, as they were 11-3 when he played and 4-4 when he did not. Before making any 2021 March Madness bracket predictions, be sure to check out the 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine

Their proven projection model has simulated every game in the tournament 10,000 times. It absolutely crushed its March Madness picks last tournament, beating nearly 90 percent of all CBS Sports brackets one year after finishing in the top five percent. The model also nailed 14 teams in the Sweet 16 last time.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 15 of the 26 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds the last four tournaments. It also nailed massive upsets last time, including huge wins by No. 13 seed UC-Irvine over No. 4 seed Kansas State, No. 10 seed Florida over No. 7 seed Nevada, and No. 12 seed Oregon over No. 5 seed Wisconsin.

There's simply no reason to rely on luck when there's proven technology to help you dominate your 2021 March Madness picks. Now, the model has simulated every possible matchup in the 2021 NCAA Tournament and revealed its optimal bracket. You can only see it over at SportsLine.

Top 2021 March Madness bracket picks

One team set to disrupt 2021 March Madness brackets: No. 14 Colgate knocks off No. 3 Arkansas in the South Region. The Raiders played a conference-only schedule, but went 14-1 with their lone defeat coming by just two points.

Colgate's top three scorers are all seniors, and they've been in this position before. In the 2019 NCAA Tournament, No. 15 Colgate held a second-half lead over No. 2 Tennessee before the Vols pulled away. Guard Jordan Burns scored 32 points in that game, and now as a senior, he leads Colgate with 17 points per game and paced the Patriot League in assists. Arkansas struggled against dynamic playmakers like Missouri's Xavier Pinson and LSU's Javonte Smart, which is why the model likes the Raiders over the Razorbacks in the 2021 March Madness bracket.

Another team to back in your 2021 NCAA Tournament picks: The No. 9 Wisconsin Badgers. SportsLine's model is calling for the Badgers to pull off the upset of No. 8 North Carolina in a first-round matchup on Friday, going against many NCAA bracket picks by experts. 

The Tar Heels rank first in the nation in offensive rebounding percentage (41.2) and rely heavily on Garrison Brooks, Armando Bacot, Day'Ron Sharpe and Walker Kessler to impose their will on that end of the floor. But it's a necessity because they don't shoot the ball well and will have their work cut out against a Wisconsin squad that has size of its own.

Micah Potter (6-foot-10), Nate Reuvers (6-foot-11) and Tyler Wahl (6-foot-9) are all regulars in the rotation and help Wisconsin rank among the top quarter of Division I teams in defensive rebounding percentage (74.8). Meanwhile, D'Mitrik Trice is a strong decision-maker on the ball for Wisconsin and a major reason why the Badgers rank second in the nation in turnover percentage (13.5). The model expects Wisconsin to mitigate North Carolina's advantage on the offensive glass and be the more efficient team offensively, which is why they advance in over 60 percent of simulations.

How to make 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

SportsLine's model also has one region where you absolutely need to pick the No. 2 seed, and the Nos. 10 and 13 seeds both deliver huge first-round upsets. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket. With the model's proven track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you'll want to see which stunners it is calling this year before locking in any bracket picks.

So what's the optimal NCAA Tournament 2021 bracket? And which underdogs shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which double-digit seeds you can back with confidence, all from the model that's nailed 15 of the 26 double-digit seed upsets the past four years.

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