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March Madness 2021 bracket predictions: NCAA Tournament picks from dialed-in college basketball model - CBS Sports

The Baylor Bears overcame an extended bout with COVID-19 to win their first Big 12 regular season title, and now they're the No. 1 seed in the South Region of the 2021 NCAA bracket. But after losing to Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Tournament championship and also falling at Kansas late in the season, can you trust Baylor enough to put them in the Final Four of your 2021 NCAA Tournament brackets? We often put an emphasis on nailing early upsets, but nothing matters more in your 2021 March Madness bracket than avoiding overachievers.

The Gonzaga Bulldogs are coming off one of the most dominant seasons in college basketball history, but they've still only made one Final Four despite being one of the most successful mid-major programs of all-time. After romping through the WCC, will we see the same Gonzaga squad that earned wins over Kansas, West Virginia, Iowa and Virginia on neutral floors? Before making any 2021 March Madness bracket predictions, be sure to check out the 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket picks from the proven computer model at SportsLine

Their proven projection model has simulated every game in the tournament 10,000 times. It absolutely crushed its March Madness picks last tournament, beating nearly 90 percent of all CBS Sports brackets one year after finishing in the top five percent. The model also nailed 14 teams in the Sweet 16 last time.

It knows how to spot an upset as well. The same model has produced brackets that have nailed 15 of the 26 first-round upsets by double-digit seeds the last four tournaments. It also nailed massive upsets last time, including huge wins by No. 13 seed UC-Irvine over No. 4 seed Kansas State, No. 10 seed Florida over No. 7 seed Nevada, and No. 12 seed Oregon over No. 5 seed Wisconsin.

There's simply no reason to rely on luck when there's proven technology to help you dominate your 2021 March Madness picks. Now, the model has simulated every possible matchup in the 2021 NCAA Tournament and revealed its optimal bracket. You can only see it over at SportsLine.

Top 2021 March Madness bracket picks

One team set to disrupt 2021 March Madness brackets: No. 14 Colgate knocks off No. 3 Arkansas in the South Region. The Raiders played a conference-only schedule, but went 14-1 with their lone defeat coming by just two points.

Colgate's top three scorers are all seniors, and they've been in this position before. In the 2019 NCAA Tournament, No. 15 Colgate held a second-half lead over No. 2 Tennessee before the Vols pulled away. Guard Jordan Burns scored 32 points in that game, and now as a senior, he leads Colgate with 17 points per game and paced the Patriot League in assists. Arkansas struggled against dynamic playmakers like Missouri's Xavier Pinson and LSU's Javonte Smart, which is why the model likes the Raiders over the Razorbacks in the 2021 March Madness bracket.

Another team to back in your 2021 NCAA Tournament picks: Texas Tech survives against Utah State in the South Region. The Red Raiders ran into several speedbumps down the stretch, losing five of their last eight games. However, those losses came at the hands of Kansas, Oklahoma State, Baylor, West Virginia and Texas, all of whom earned top-four seeds in the NCAA Tournament bracket 2021.

Meanwhile, Utah State managed to win six of its last seven games, but went just 2-5 in Quad 1 games and also had two dumbfounding Quad 3 losses. Both defenses rank among the top 25 teams in the nation in adjusted defensive efficiency, but Texas Tech ranks 27th in adjusted offensive efficiency while Utah State ranks 110th. That's a big reason why the model has Texas Tech winning in well over 50 percent of simulations.

How to make 2021 NCAA Tournament bracket predictions

SportsLine's model also has one region where you absolutely need to pick the No. 2 seed, and the Nos. 10 and 13 seeds both deliver huge first-round upsets. Nailing those picks could literally make or break your bracket. With the model's proven track record of calling bracket-busting upsets, you'll want to see which stunners it is calling this year before locking in any bracket picks.

So what's the optimal NCAA Tournament 2021 bracket? And which underdogs shock college basketball? Visit SportsLine now to see which double-digit seeds you can back with confidence, all from the model that's nailed 15 of the 26 double-digit seed upsets the past four years.

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