CLEVELAND, Ohio -- Talking to myself about the contract situation of LeBron James as he ponders free agency:
QUESTION: Will James pick up his play option for $36.5 million by the June 29 deadline?
ANSWER: I talked to some NBA executives and checked the labor contract to put together this breakdown of the different options available to the Cavaliers star. There is almost a zero chance James will pick up that option.
Q: Didn't Chris Paul pick up his one-year player-option with the Clippers last summer?
A: He did. But the only reason was to set up a trade to Houston.
Q: Why wouldn't James do the same if he wants to play elsewhere?
A: I guess it's possible, but James has always wanted complete flexibility. If he wants to go somewhere, he'll just go as a free agent.
Q: What about the old-fashioned "sign-and-trade" deals?
A: They exists, but the parts that were helpful to players are mostly gone. It's is complicated, but I doubt James will be any part of a "sign-and-trade."
Q: What he if wants to stay one more year in Cleveland?
A: Then he'll do another 1-and-1 contract. In this deal, he'd sign for the maximum amount -- a projected $36 million in 2018-19. But he'd add a player option for the maximum in 2019-20 -- about $37 million.
Q: What's the point?
A: He has two years of protection, but can leave after a single season. Suppose James signed a 1-and-1 contract for next season -- and he suffered a career-ending injury in December. He still would be paid $73 million...the 1-and-1...as he'd pick up his player option even if he could not play.
Q: Wasn't James the first to do those 1-and-1 contracts?
A: I believe so. He is with Klutch Sports Agency, where Rich Paul is the agent. The contract negotiator is Mark Termini, a Cleveland native and veteran sports attorney. Other NBA people told me that Termini came up with that idea.
Q: Do you think there will be a trade involving James?
A: Not likely. Since coming to the Cavs, he's had a no-trade clause and he will continue to have a no-trade clause in any new deal. He is the best player in the NBA. He can dictate his terms.
Q: Why not sign a long-term maximum contract with the Cavs?
A: James is finishing a 2-and-1 contract. He played two years on a deal signed after the 2016 title. He has the option for this season. He has to at least consider the maximum because Cleveland can pay him more than anyone else.
Q: How does that work?
A: There is a home court advantage for free agents. The Cavs can offer James a maximum deal of about $205 million for five years. If he goes to another team, the most he can be paid is about $152 million for four years.
Q: Can't he wait another year, then sign a 5-year deal with the Cavs?
A: No. To secure that 5-year maximum, he has to sign this summer. A player who signs the long-term maximum contract must have it end by the time he's 38.
Q: Say what?
A: James is 33 years old. His 5-year deal with the Cavs would end by the time he's 38. If he waits until next summer to sign the big maximum contract -- it can only be four years. That's because he'll be 34 next summer and the contract must end when he's 38.
Q: So this is his last chance to sign a 5-year, maximum deal?
A: Exactly.
Q: Do you think he'll do it?
A: I doubt it. James has been savvy about keeping his options open since coming to the Cavs. But he has to discuss it.
Q: The longest he can sign with another team is for four years?
A: That's correct.
Q: So next summer, he could leave the Cavs and still sign a 4-year deal with a team such as the Lakers?
A: That's correct. He'll be 34 and the deal would end when he's 38. So it's legal.
Q: Why doesn't James sign for less money than the maximum?
A: James was never the highest paid player on his team until he came to the Cavs in 2014. He never received a full maximum salary until then. He sees no reason to take less.
Q: Are you going to say what James will do?
A: Other than declining his option on June 29? I have no clue.
Q: How about taking a guess?
A: In 2010, I spoke to a group of lawyers in Akron. They asked what James would do. I said I had doubts about him staying with the Cavs, "But the one thing I don't expect him to do is go to Miami with Dwayne Wade." I talked about Chicago or New York as destinations. I stopped guessing about James after that.
Q: So what's the point of this story?
A: For readers to understand his options -- especially this being his last chance to sign the full 5-year, maximum deal. That was something I didn't know until recently.
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